Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.113131 0.130862 0.150439 0.173658 0.200445 0.230383 0.266391
2025-11-30 0.085539 0.109409 0.138474 0.176467 0.224836 0.284391 0.363364
2025-12-07 0.068268 0.093651 0.126737 0.173015 0.236109 0.319201 0.437116
2025-12-14 0.056995 0.082789 0.118332 0.170874 0.246626 0.352014 0.510073
2025-12-21 0.049873 0.076125 0.114084 0.172950 0.262027 0.391976 0.596430
2025-12-28 0.045788 0.073058 0.114222 0.180853 0.286134 0.446373 0.709495
2026-01-04 0.041735 0.069345 0.112695 0.185663 0.305603 0.495356 0.819349
2026-01-11 0.038197 0.065895 0.110995 0.189714 0.323927 0.544003 0.933605
2026-01-18 0.034724 0.062049 0.108086 0.191215 0.337884 0.586583 1.042005
2026-01-25 0.031090 0.057433 0.103267 0.188731 0.344471 0.617041 1.132372
2026-02-01 0.027410 0.052261 0.096844 0.182549 0.343603 0.634071 1.200163
2026-02-08 0.025520 0.050141 0.095616 0.185608 0.359725 0.682847 1.330990
2026-02-15 0.023464 0.047508 0.093228 0.186363 0.371899 0.726170 1.457561
2026-02-22 0.021881 0.045615 0.092040 0.189312 0.388656 0.779979 1.610770
2026-03-01 0.019753 0.042356 0.087790 0.185610 0.391633 0.807016 1.713002
2026-03-08 0.018015 0.039694 0.084433 0.183314 0.397134 0.839476 1.829679
2026-03-15 0.016885 0.038194 0.083299 0.185540 0.412318 0.893256 1.997193
2026-03-22 0.016395 0.038036 0.084979 0.194016 0.441876 0.980259 2.246313
2026-03-29 0.015659 0.037236 0.085167 0.199175 0.464592 1.054689 2.475385
2026-04-05 0.014916 0.036329 0.085013 0.203520 0.485886 1.128041 2.709845
2026-04-12 0.014038 0.035002 0.083753 0.205130 0.500956 1.188739 2.921171
2026-04-19 0.012958 0.033056 0.080841 0.202465 0.505531 1.225525 3.079101
2026-04-26 0.011737 0.030621 0.076503 0.195835 0.499711 1.237053 3.176296